Markets/Trades

Total 461 Posts

Markets

CoFIF Updates: 2025-08-14 Close

Prices for longer-dated contracts rebounded slightly on thinner volumes and some liquidations. The benchmark EC2510 contract edged down 0.18%, while open interest fell by 4,042 to 56,698 contracts — possibly an early sign that long-position holders are throwing in the towel. Vessel utilization for the first 9 sailings of Far East-North Europe route this week rebounded to 96% but still below the peak of 97% in July. Track vessel utilization here. Hapag Lloyd lowered its quotations for the Augus

Markets

CoFIF Updates: 2025-08-13 close

The debate over where freight rates will settle in October continues. Short-sellers came in this morning with fresh capital, pushing all contract prices lower. Yet it would be remiss not to note that open interest has risen to 87,000, indicating that long-position holders have not only resisted liquidating but have, on the contrary, added to their positions. Based on the exchange’s broker-level open interest report, most of the increase in long positions reflects new entries, indicating a wave o

Ports

Transpacific volumes rally before higher tariffs kick in

Transpacific cargo volumes rebounded sharply in July, with total Far East-US container arrivals reaching 1.810m TEU, surpassing the previous record of 1.805m TEU in January 2022. China’s share of the total volumes recovered to 55%, up from 48% in the previous 2 months. Although Vietnam’s share slipped from the peak of 20% last month to 17%, total volumes from Vietnam still reached a record high of 310,500 teu. The rally comes as higher US import tariffs take effect on 7 August 2025, with Transp

Markets

25 Week 32: Freight Futures Watch

The SCFIS index to North Europe dropped for the 4th consecutive week, shedding 2.7% on 11 August to 2,235 points with further weakness expected through October, with EC2508 and EC2510 trading at a 7% and 37% discount. Average EC trading volumes dropped to 50,000 contracts last week but open interest rose 9% on the week to above 80,523. The EC2510 contract is now the most hotly traded, with 56,688 open positions—the third‑highest on record, behind only EC2404 and EC2406 positions in December 2023

Markets

25 Week 32: Freight Rates Watch

North Europe rates remain under pressure with spot rates dropping below $2,900/feu against the latest SCFI assessment of $3,234/feu. Carriers continue to slash rates after capacity utilization slipped in the past week. Average weekly capacity in August will be higher than July, with weeks 32-34 expected at over 350,000 teu per week. Gemini carriers continue to maintain a 100% sailing record on its North Europe network, with no blank sailings since April. While this approach has enabled Maersk

Markets

CoFIF Updates: 2025-08-08

Another wave of bottom fishers entered the market, this time focusing on EC2510, which has now become one of the most hotly contested freight futures contracts, closing with open interest at 56,602 contracts—the third highest after EC2404 and EC2406. Nevertheless, EC2510 gave back most of its earlier gains by the market close, though it still ended the day up 1.34%. The Shanghai Containerized Freight Index (SCFI) reported a 4.4% weekly decline to 1,961, which translates to around $3,250 per FEU

Markets

CoFIF Updates: 2025-08-07

Despite a decline in prices for most freight futures contracts listed in Shanghai, the market remained resilient, as today’s drop occurred on much lighter volume than yesterday. Both EC2510 and EC2512 closed near the day’s highs. Traders continue to show strong conviction that spot freight rates will not fall below $2,100 per FEU through June 2026, with a seasonal uptick expected in December potentially testing the $2,900 per FEU level. In the physical market, the liners are mostly offering $28

Markets

CoFIF Updates: 2025-08-06

Contrarian traders entered the market this morning, driving up the prices of all futures contracts except for the EC2508. Although most contracts surrendered the majority of their gains by the close, all long-dated contracts still finished higher on the day. Furthermore, open interest rebounded to 78,000 from 74,000 yesterday. The EC2510 alone has an open interest of 54,361 contracts, representing approximately $500 million in value. This indicates that there is no shortage of bullish sentiment

Markets

25 Week 31: Charter Rate Watch

MSC is believed to have fixed the 8,204 teu TSC DORADO and TSC LONDON that were released from detention in Malta in July after idling for the last 3 years. They will join MSC after completing drydock in Turkey. The removal of these 2 ships from the idle list has pushed the idle fleet to its lowest level in over 2 years. MSC has also taken the 8,827 teu VALIANT on 4 August for new 5 year charter on private terms after the ending its last charter to Hapag-Lloyd. It was part of a forward charter de

Markets

25 Week 31: Freight Rates Watch

New SCFI rate assessments for 40’ containers are now available, with the assessments showing a steep decline in Med rates with FEU rates already falling behind North Europe. The removal of 9 SeaLead ships with an average capacity of 5,700 teu on the China-Med 5CX service will affect rates to the East Med and Black Sea as the service is focused on Egypt and Turkey but is not expected to impact rates to the West Med. North Europe rates also remain under pressure with several carriers offering sp

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