Markets/Trades

Total 194 Posts

Markets

CoFIF futures rally as Middle East peace talks collapse

Asia-North Europe freight futures rallied over the Labour Day shortened trading week, with rates on the 2 main futures contracts (EC2406 and EC2408) trading higher on 30 Apr and 6 May. The 2 short dated contracts  rallied as the Middle East peace talks faltered with the 2 contracts accounting for nearly 80% of daily trading volumes, while the longer dated contracts for EC2412, EC2502 and the newly launched EC2504 were tactically sold off as trading hedges. Average daily volumes were unchanged b

Markets

Charter rates up on tonnage demand

The charter market went into overdrive last week, with fixture activity, rates and periods all rising in tandem. Carriers’ tonnage demand is still not fully covered despite the high level of new ship deliveries as the surging freight market is  supporting the rise in charter rates in all segments except for the 1,100 teu and smaller sizes. The composite charter index is up 10% YoY, with the larger sizes enjoying much higher increases. CMA CGM, Hapag-Lloyd, Maersk and SeaLead were the most activ

Markets

CoFIF market sell-off on Red Sea ceasefire risk

Asia-North Europe CoFIF freight futures retreated sharply on 29 April on fears that ceasefire talks taking place in Egypt this week could drag down freight rates before the end of the year. Contracts for October 2024 (EC2410) were most badly hit, dropping to 2,169 after reaching a peak of 2,765 last week. The latest EC2410 futures remain on par with the current SCFIS at 2,175 points, with EC2406 and EC2408 contracts still trading at a significant premium to the current SCFIS spot rate index at 2

Markets

Effective capacity remains constrained despite record new ship deliveries

The containership fleet capacity currently stands at 29.37m TEU and will reach 30m TEU by the end of June this year. Although the nominal fleet growth has reached 10% YoY, effective capacity on the 4 main East-West trades has grown by only 3% this year as the vessel diversions to the Cape route due to the Red Sea crisis has absorbed most of the new capacity. At a global level, effective capacity on all 33 inter-regional linehaul routes tracked by Linerlytica has shrunk by -4% YoY, with reduced

Markets

Asia-Europe rate futures rally on strong liquidity

Speculative traders returned to the CoFIF market last week with average trading volumes doubling compared to the week before. Prices for longer dated contracts for June 2024 through February 2025 rallied. The EC2406 and EC2408 contracts rose above 2,500 compared to the latest SCFIS index at 2,135, implying an expected increase of over 17% from current rate levels. Market conviction on the May rate hikes have strengthened with several carriers pushing for higher FAK rates backed by improved vess

Markets

Freight Rates Watch: Higher Contract Rates, GRI..

Transpacific contract rates for smaller BCOs are settling at the 1,600-1,700/feu level to the US West Coast, which are $200-400 higher than the rates done for larger BCOs. These rates are also 10-20% higher than average contract rates for the 2023-24 season but are substantially lower than current spot market rates of $2,800 to 3,100 per feu which will provide incentives for other BCOs to accept higher contract rates. Several carriers have filed for a fresh round of rate increases from 1 May o

Markets

USTR actions against Chinese ships will do little to help US shipbuilders

The United States Trade Representative (USTR) initiated an investigation on China’s maritime, logistics, and shipbuilding sectors on 17 April 2024 based on the petition filed by 5 US labor unions that alleged unfair policies and practices to undermine fair competition and dominate the market. Amongst the proposed remedies to address China’s dominance is a fee on vessels built in China that dock at US ports. Although containerships built at Chinese shipyards account for only 27% of the current f

Markets

Limited Israeli-owned containership exposure on Persian Gulf

The seizure of the 14,952 teu MSC ARIES by Iranian special forces on 13 April 2024 off Fujairah has placed heightened risks on Israeli-linked containerships trading in the Strait of Hormuz. However, the Israeli owned fleet accounts for less than 2% of all containerships in the Persian Gulf and their redeployment to other routes is not expected to cause significant disruptions to the trade, barring a full blockade of the Strait of Hormuz if the Israeli conflict escalates. Out of over 500 contain

Markets

Asia-Europe futures rate rally on expectations of extended Suez diversions

Asia-North Europe freight futures rallied on 15 April with longer dated CoFIF contracts (covering June 2024 to February 2025) recording strong double digit % gain. Traders are building long positions with the escalation in the Middle East conflict expected to extend the Suez diversions. The extended voyages have kept Asia-North Europe capacity in check, with effective capacity falling by 3% YoY in spite of the additional 23% capacity that has been deployed on the route. Although carriers failed

Markets

Carriers Chasing Tonnage

The easter holidays and Ching Ming holidays has not dampened charterer interest, with charter rates are still rising over the past week. Open interest for prompt deliveries remain high especially for the larger sizes where availability is limited. Hede Shipping completed the charter of the 4 ships it needed for the newly launched Hede Direct Service connecting Shanghai and Los Angeles – the 3,426 BFAD ATLANTIC ($22,000 for 12 months), 1,809 teu ANDROKLIS ($15,750 for 6 months), 4,298 teu REN JI

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