Markets/Trades

Total 177 Posts

Markets

Spot Rates: TP rose AE fell

Transpacific freight rates defied market expectations with further rate hikes coming at the end of January after COSCO and MSC pushed ahead with their FAK rate increases from 1 February with the other carriers finally deciding to follow suit. Although some carriers have started to offer rate discounts on selected sailings in February, the increased FAK rates have raised overall market levels which will hold at least until the first week of February before a larger correction sets in after the C

Markets

CoFIF turnover dropped below Open Interests

Prices, turnover, and open interests across all forward Asia-North Europe CoFIF contracts fell last week, with the market still in steep backwardation as both spot and near-term contracts are priced higher than the longer dated contracts. The speculative activities have cooled in the CoFIF market as average turnover dropped by 38% WoW to reach a level lower than the open interests for the first time since CoFIF was launched in August 2023. In comparison, the futures’ turnovers in CME are usually

Markets

Steeper Backwardation for CoFIF Asia-Europe freight futures

The CoFIF market went into steeper backwardation as the spot SCFIS went up 12% WoW while the CoFIF contracts were down about 4-6% WoW across the board. Liquidation of the Open Interest continued but on a  slower pace than previous weeks. There are indications that rates are peaking as the market looks beyond the current tight market to the expected rate correction post-Chinese New year, with the SCFI registering its first drop last week after 8 consecutive weekly hikes. Spot freight rates compi

Markets

Alliance revamp in 2025 set to disrupt liner market balance

Maersk and Hapag-Lloyd announced on 17 January 2024 the formation of a new long-term global alliance named Gemini Cooperation that will start from February 2025. The move comes one year after the announcement of the break up of the 2M partnership between Maersk and MSC on 25 January 2023 with a 2 year notice period that will take effect from January 2025. Hapag-Lloyd has also given a one year notice to its partners in THE Alliance for an early termination of its participation in the partnership

Markets

How about one cut then hike again in 2024?

Be aware if you have been expecting interest rate cut this year: Ocean freight that may have contributed to a chunk of inflation during 2021-2022 have staged a come back. Looking back the past few years, the correlation between freight-to-cargo ratio and US inflation averaged 74%. The take-off in May 2020 and peak in July 2022 of the two lines coincide with each other while the flooring of the freight-to-cargo ratio led the US inflation by few months. The swing from May 2020 to July 2022 for t

Markets

Liquidation Continues In CoFIF amid soaring spot rates

It has been a volatile week in the CoFIF market that saw a limit-down day last Tuesday (9 Jan) and a big rally on Friday (12 Jan). Nevertheless, liquidation in the CoFIF market continued for the 3rd week albeit at slower pace. Open interests in CoFIF peaked on 22 December and have since fallen 69%. Further volatile trading is expected this week after the SCFI’s 8.1% gain on the Asia-North Europe route and the SCFIS which jumped by a further 49.7% on 15 Jan after the previous week’s 70.9% rise.

Markets

Capacity shortage hits Asia-Europe trade

With the stakes raised amidst heightened risks of retaliatory Houthi attacks on ships in the Red Sea, carriers continue to take radically different approaches to their Suez services. CMA CGM and a handful of niche carriers continue to make Suez transits while all of the other main carriers have shifted to the Cape route. The Asia-Europe trade faces a severe capacity shortage in the coming weeks, with some 70 additional ships required to maintain weekly sailings on the 30 regular services on th

Markets

Charter Rates Rallying Too

Charter rates continue to rally as carriers raise their tonnage demand in tandem with the rising freight rates on Red Sea and Suez routes which has also spilled over into the Transpacific routes last week. Activity is high across all size segments with clear rate gains across the board apart from the smaller ships below 1,300 teu that continued to weaken. Maersk took the 15,258 teu newbuilding ONE FOCUS, in a private deal with ONE for an unspecified period for deployment on the FE-USWC for its

Markets

Spot Rate Rally Continues, Windfall for Liners

Freight rates surged across the board, with Transpacific SCFI rates rebounding sharply last week. MSC’s rate hike to $5,000/feu to the USWC and $6,900/feu to the USEC from 15 January jolted the rest of the carriers into following suit, with spot rates to both the West Coast and East Coast rising by over 40% last week. Zim has confirmed the introduction of a new PNW string from next week as it seeks to take advantage of the higher transpacific rates rates. SCFI rates made its 8th consecutive we

Markets

To hedge the freight rate volatility

Option for those wanting to hedge against volatility in container shipping freight rate: CoFIF (Container Freight Index Futures)'s Asia-Europe contracts are trading at something (in $/40'dry) like $2400 for April, $2250 for June, $2147 for August and $1900 for October (our estimates) while liners are offering $3500 for annual contracts while spot rates at the moment is racing up t $5000 or above. Frankly no one know for sure where the freight rates will be in April through October. They could

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