The freight futures in Shanghai experienced a wild ride over the past two trading sessions, with a spike at the open yesterday followed by a retreat over the past two days, apparently finding a short-term bottom this afternoon. The spike yesterday was driven primarily by short covering, as open interest has hardly changed. Then Maersk offered $1,400 per FEU for shipment leaving at the first week of October, which gave short sellers added conviction. The short sellers returned today and added ano
Maersk’s offer of $1,550 per FEU after the market closed yesterday triggered a more meaningful decline for all freight futures contracts, with trading volume nearly double that of the previous day. Most contracts closed at their daily lows. The most notable development, however, was the increase in open interest, particularly for EC2510. Typically, traders begin to liquidate positions in a contract about two months before expiry and roll over their bets to the next expiring contracts. But this h
The container shipping industry has reached a pivotal point this year in the application of freight futures as a hedging tool. Major players are starting to act, rather than avoiding or merely considering the use of freight futures. The freight futures products are ready, and more options with potentially even better designs will be available soon. There are already two freight derivatives products in operation. One is the SCFIS (Europe) Futures Contract (EC) listed on the Shanghai Internationa
The trading volume is drying up, with open interest holding up only because of the hotly contested EC2510 contract. There is no sign yet of traders willing to roll over their EC2510 positions into longer-dated contracts. If the bears are correct, volumes will fall sharply once the October contracts expire, creating a difficult environment for the launch of two additional futures products—one on ICE based on the NYSHEX index and the other on Euronext based on the Xeneta index. For the first time
No one was willing to make a move today, as all eyes are on what Maersk will offer for late-September shipments. With no fresh news to set the tone, most contracts moved higher on traders’ concerns that the market may have already bottomed. Trading volume was light today but open interests edged up by 927 contracts. As of the time this note was published, Maersk’s new offer had still not surfaced. However, after market close, OOCL posted a rate of $1,650 per FEU—down another $200 per FEU, which
MSC announced its Golden Week blank sailings program at the start of last week, triggering a brief double-digit jump in EC futures prices and lifting daily trading volumes above 100,000 contracts for the first time since mid-July. However, open interest hovered at only 80,000 contracts with traders reluctant to hold large overnight positions. The much-anticipated Gemini announcement of its own blank sailing plan on 4 September disappointed with just a single sailing removed in October. Average
The futures opened higher on Maersk's blank sailing announcement but reversed course through the morning as traders judged that the blankings would not be sufficient to halt the spot rate decline. Bottom fishers then entered the market before HMM’s rate cut (from $2,100 to $1,700 per FEU) on next week’s sailings sent shockwaves through the market. Liquidation for EC2510 continued while the open position for EC2512 remain depressed.
Freight futures listed in Shanghai extended their decline from the final hour of yesterday’s session (2 Sep), as traders began to question whether MSC’s blanking of four voyages would be enough to offset the expected volume dip in the first half of October. In the physical market, however, liners continue to cut quotations for September FAK shipments, with Gemini operators reducing their offers to USD 1,650–1,700 per FEU. Trading volume fell sharply from yesterday’s 117,491 contracts to 40,534
Freight futures listed in Shanghai surged this morning, buoyed by a fresh influx of cash that pushed up every contract, as a blank sailing notice from MSC strengthened conviction in the market that freight rates have found a floor at around $2,000 per FEU. The MSC blank sailing will cancel four voyages, removing a total of 60,442 TEU—equivalent to 5% of the capacity deployed in October. Even after this reduction, the average weekly capacity for October will remain at 293,341 TEU. Buying intere
Freight futures contracts listed in Shanghai continued to decline. Trading volume remains steady but low, while open interest continues to rise. The main news concerns ONE reducing its quotation for shipments by $200 to $2,143 per FEU, and Hapag Lloyd lowering its rate for shipments departing in the last week of September by $200 to $1,835 per FEU.