OOIL’s top line breakdown for 3Q 2023 saw total revenue slip by 11% QoQ and 65% YoY driven primarily by the drop in average freight rates. The fall is larger than market forecasts with OOIL’s average freight rates falling by more than CCFI levels on a QoQ basis, even after excluding the impact of the sharp fall in Transatlantic rates which is outside of the CCFI scope. OOIL’s Transpacific freight rates fell by 2% despite the rate increases in July and August. OOIL’s 3Q23 EBIT is expected to rec
Carriers reported a mixed 2nd quarter 2023 performance, with 3 carriers able to reverse their earnings decline despite the weak market conditions. OOCL and COSCO jumped to the top of the carriers earnings table with their outsized 2Q earnings despite weaker revenue and freight rates. OOCL and COSCO’s EBIT margins at 31.8% and 24.8% are more than 3 times higher than the average of the next 8 carriers which stands at just 6.7%. COSCO reported at the group level a $5.7 Bn improvement in its equ
OOIL’s 1H23 earnings fell 74% HoH. Earnings are still very good comparing to historical average. RoE was still stayed close to 20% despite of the large sum of idle assets (e.g. cash) on balance sheet. 74% sequential drop in earnings are a touch better than the industry average which is 83% HoH fall. OOIL’s unit costs fell 17% HoH relative to the industry’s average 11% HoH fall.
OOIL reported 2023 Q1 top line breakdown overnight (5 July) where its revenue dropped 9% QoQ and 63% YoY. More importantly, overall average freight rates for OOIL fell 15% QoQ and 63% YoY, comparing to CCFI's 14% QoQ and 70% YoY drop. And all four routes registered decline in average freight rates both QoQ and YoY where Transatlantic route suffered bigger sequential fall. OOIL has earned $530mn in EBIT during 1Q23 as per our computation from COSCO's disclosure. The sequential drop in average fr
OOIL's 1Q 2023 shipping top line and breakdowns came out after Asian market on Thursday (6 Apr), being the first container liner to provide 1Q 2023 top line report. Revenue dropped 31% QoQ on average freight rate fall, which is in line with CCFI's 33% fall during the same period. Overall 1Q 2023 volume was flat QoQ. Transpacific volume being up 11% QoQ suggested OOCL, the shipping liner of OOIL, may have gained market share during past quarter as the US import from Asia was down during 1Q 202
OOIL reported FY2022 results after market close. The drop in earnings during 2022 H2 was within the range of the earnings drops reported by the other liners. A large dividend was consistent with OOIL's historical pay-out track record. Where this set of results stand out for us happened in the unit operating expense that fell 11% YoY and 10% HoH while the industry still experienced rise in operating expenses during 2022 H2. OOIL has previously made provisions for future operating expenses, noti
OOIL reported 4Q 2022 top line breakdown after Hong Kong market close yesterday (11 Feb). 4Q revenue was down by 37% QoQ and 35% YoY, driven by lower freight rates. Most of the routes, except for Transatlantic, were hit similarly and the fall in average freight rates was broadly in line with the fall in CCFI. OOIL only reports full set results semi-annually. On the $2.2bn or 21% HoH fall in revenue, OOIL's 2H 2022 net profit may also fall about $2bn or 38% HoH. OOIL usually reports past year's
Container liners Q4 earnings report will likely be a turning point of this earning cycle, underlined by the 45% QoQ drop in average CCFI index. Listed Taiwanese liners have released their revenue report in the second week of January. The up coming liner revenue or earning reports IF they follow last year's release schedule would be as follows (last year release date): 1. Maersk preliminary results (14 Jan); 2. Matson profit alert (19 Jan); 3. OOCL operating updates (24 Jan); 4. COSCO prof
OOIL and the Taiwanese liners' revenue reports came out after the market close on Friday (7 Oct). All four liners reported sequentially lower revenue in 3Q. Liners will start to report their 3Q earnings in the coming weeks. These revenue reports suggest 3Q earnings may have come off from this cycle peak in 2Q. Consensus in the capital market is expecting 3Q liner* earnings to be between 4% up and 18% down QoQ. OOIL's 3Q revenue dropped only 5% QoQ while Wanhai's 3Q revenue dropped 18% QoQ. Sequ
The best yard stick, in our view, measuring management performance is the financial return generate over time. And the most direct financial return for shareholders is the dividend pay-out relative to a company's market value. Liners have been swimming in cash on extraordinary earnings since 2021. Reasonably, they also distributed dividend generously. Between 2021 and July 2022 end, a total of $38bn* of dividend paid while another $14bn have been committed to be paid in 2022 by the 16 shipping