Markets/Trades

Total 439 Posts

Markets

CoFIF updates: 2025-06-19 noon

Maersk’s spot rate of $3,400 per FEU for shipments departing on July 3rd, published in the afternoon of June 17th, elicited only a muted response in the next day ( June 18th): the EC2508 contract rose by a modest 3%, amid considerable liquidation that pushed open interest below 90,000. This morning (June 19th), MSC went further by slashing its rate for June 30th departures to just $2,640 per FEU—even as it maintained a July FAK rate of $4,092 per FEU. The sharp cut for near-term shipments sent

Markets

Closure of Strait of Hormuz could impact 3.4% of global container volumes

Container vessel traffic in the Middle East remains unaffected by the escalation in the Israel-Iran conflict since 13 June with carriers maintaining their scheduled calls at Middle East Gulf and Israeli ports, while Suez transits have also been retained. Zim affirmed the continuation of its services to the Israeli ports of Ashdod and Haifa while CMA CGM is still proceeding to reroute 3 of their Europe-Indian subcontinent/Far East ships through the Suez this month despite the rising tensions. How

Markets

25 Week 24: Freight Futures Watch

EC freight futures failed to retain the initial gains following Israel’s attack on Iran on 13 June with prices closing lower on 16 June as the market continues to assess the impact of the rising tensions in the Middle East. The prolonged closure of the Red Sea and higher fuel costs are expected to lead to keep freight rates elevated, the prospect of a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz could leave up to 3.4% of global container volumes stranded. Trading remained subdued throughout the past week a

Markets

25 Week 24: Freight Rates Watch

Carriers managed to retain the positive rate momentum to North Europe, with the SCFI rising by 10.6% while the SCFIS edged up by a further 4.6% after last week’s hefty 29.5% gain. The further delay in the return to the Suez route as a result of the rising tensions in the Middle East has helped raise sentiments with capacity utilization still holding up amidst elevated congestion at both Asian and European hub ports that have kept effective capacity lower in June. However, SCFI rates to the Med

Markets

CoFIF Updates: 2025-06-13

It was a busy day as Israel launched an attack on Iran, which many freight futures traders interpreted as a buy signal. Traders have become conditioned to view any conflict as potentially positive for container shipping freight rates. The rally began with longer-dated contracts, fueled by expectation that liners will have to postpone their return to the Red Sea. Later, the main contracts, EC2508 and EC2510, gained momentum on expectations of increased fuel surcharges, which would be added to the

Markets

CoFIF Updates: 2025-06-12

Freight futures in China surged shortly after market open, following news of Iran’s threats of retaliation against Israel—a development that raised expectations of a delay in liners returning to the Suez route. However, short sellers subsequently entered the market and drove down futures prices for most of the day. Despite this, longer-dated contracts ended the session higher, supported by increased open interest.

Markets

CoFIF Updates: 2025-06-11

The sharp correction in freight rates on the Far East–West Coast North America route since June appears to have deflated pricing on the Far East–Northern Europe route as well, where vessel utilisation has remained lacklustre. With the prospect of $3,000 per FEU before July now in doubt, shipping lines are once again trimming rates for the next fortnight. The futures market is just moving side way at low trading volume.

Markets

25 Week 23: Freight Rates Watch

Asia-Europe carriers continue to struggle to maintain an united front on their pricing, with the range of rates remaining wide going into the 2nd half of June. Maersk’s pricing remains highly erratic as it reversed its aggressive price cuts in early June with higher rates in the 2nd half of the month although its rate quotations remain lower than other carriers on the North European routes. Port congestion remains high across all North European main ports, but this has not resulted in any mater

Markets

25 Week 23: Freight Futures Watch

The North Europe SCFIS published after market close on 9 June rose by 29.5% to 1,623 points but remains 20% below the last EC2506 closing price which had risen by 6% over the past week in anticipation of the gains with carriers still eyeing another attempt to raise rates in mid-July. Open interest remains elevated at 7,803 contracts with just three weeks to expiry and could face selling pressure if the mid-July rate hike flops. Futures contracts for August-December traded sideways with no new c

Markets

No box shortage to drive sustained freight rate surge

Asia to US freight rates have peaked after carriers rolled back the increases from the last 2 weeks as the new Transpacific capacity injections have exceeded market demand, especially to the Los Angeles/Long Beach PSW gateway where carriers are struggling to fill the ships. Although PNW and US East Coast capacity remains tight, it will not be enough to push through a fresh round of rate increases in mid-June as the carriers focus on holding their recent gains. Carriers’ initial exuberance has be

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