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MarketPulse

Market Pulse – 2022 Week38

Register Free Trial [https://www.linerlytica.com/register/?utm_source=W202238] The liner market continues to weaken with the outlook remaining weak until the end of this year. The SCFI took another 10% beating last week but further rate drops are expected as market rates are dropping faster than the indices can track them, with a similar situation developing on the charter market as containership charter rates are also dropping rapidly as demand wanes ahead of the traditional slack season start

Services

Unifeeder launches Lithuania-UK service

Unifeeder has introduced a new service linking Lithuania and UK from 10 September 2022. The service calls at Klaipeda, Gdynia, Immingham, Rotterdam, Gdansk, Klaipeda on a 11-13 day turnaround using the 1,025 teu ELBSPRING and the 1,036 teu ELBWAVE.

Services

Hapag Lloyd launches CCF

Hapag Lloyd is launching a Colombo Chittagong Feeder (CCF) starting from 30 September 2022 with 1,740 teu HANSA RENDSBURG at Chittagong. The service will run on 14-days rotation on fortnightly basis. HANSA RENDSBURG was initially deployed in East Med trade after joining Hapag Lloyd in early August.

Companies

Liner OPEX Could Stay High Unrelated to Freight Rates

As the container liner sector is entering an earning downcycle, OPEX analysis should be back in focus for the stakeholders. While the average freight rates over 6-month has been tripled since 19H1, OPEX has also quietly moved up by 52%. Hence the 60% EBIT margin reported in 22H1. If the average freight rates fall by 60%, the industry will reach the break even level holding all else constant. Some of the OPEX items may not be correlated with the freight rates or at least not moving in synchroniz

Companies

WHL and YMM Aug Revenue Add Confirmation To Industry Wide Downcycle

WHL and YMM also reported their August revenue last week, after EMC. WHL's August revenue fell 20% YoY, 12% MoM and 40% from its peak in Jan 2022. YMM's August revenue also fell both YoY and MoM. If the same MoM pace continues for Sep, the three Taiwanese liners will likely report 9% M0M lower top line and hence 7% QoQ lower top line for for 3Q 2022. Liner industry reported about 58% EBIT margin and 50% net profit margin during 2Q 2022. So on the ballpark, every 1% drop in top line would mean

Ships

Charters Rates Fell Sharply

Charter rates recorded sharp falls last week, with the negative sentiment in the freight markets finally filtering through to the charter market. With freight rates rapidly collapsing across all tradelanes, charter rates are belatedly catching up with further rate falls to follow given the rising number of vessels available spot and on a prompt basis. Shorter period charters of up to 6 months are no longer commanding any premiums over 12 month rates, while the gap on 24 month rates are also na

Ports

Earliest Throughput Data in Asia Points to Sequential Drop

August throughput volumes reported so far continue to show weakness, with month on month (MoM) declines. Shanghai port has reported a -3.0% MoM drop compared to July volumes and a -3.4% YoY drop compared to August last year, in an early indication that overall volumes are already softening even though most of the main ports have not yet reported their August handling volumes. Singapore reported -0.7% MoM while Hong Kong reported -3.2% MoM for August.

Markets

WK37 SCFI still lags spot market

The SCFI assessment of $3,050/feu to the US West Coast remains higher than latest market rates offered by carriers that have already dropped below $2,500/feu and will soon breach the $2,000/feu level, ensuring further SCFI downward revisions in the coming weeks. USWC rates have collapsed completely, and contract rates have also been annihilated with various carriers already agreeing to revise full year contract rates to match the current spot  market rates in order to protect their volume share

Markets

Earnings good in 3Q but material downside coming in 4Q

Freight rates continued their spectacular collapse last week despite the severe port congestion that has built up in North Asia due to Typhoon Muifa, with the SCFI slipping by 33% within the past 4 weeks and down 50% year on year. Vessel utilisation on head haul routes have continued to drop despite shortfalls in ship departures, with carriers lacking resolve to remove excess vessel capacity in the market beyond ad hoc blank sailings that have been ineffective in curbing the rate drops. Yet, ca

MarketPulse

Market Pulse – 2022 Week 37

Register Free Trial [https://www.linerlytica.com/register/?utm_source=W202237] Freight rates continued their spectacular collapse last week despite the severe port congestion that has built up in North Asia due to Typhoon Muifa, with the SCFI slipping by 33% within the past 4 weeks and down 50% year on year. Vessel utilisation on head haul routes have continued to drop despite shortfalls in ship departures, with carriers lacking resolve to remove excess vessel capacity in the market beyond ad h

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