Financials

Companies

BAL parent company plans Hong Kong IPO

LC Logistics, the parent  company of BAL Container Line, has filed for an initial public offering (IPO) in Hong Kong on 24 October 2022. The company was founded by Xu Xin in 2004 in Qingdao as Shandong Lcang to provide freight forwarding services and is a related company of Qingdao Boan that is engaged in container sales and leasing. BAL Container Line was established as the liner operating arm of the Shandong Lcang Group in August 2012 in Hong Kong to provide SOC container transportation se

Evergreen

EMC: Lower Freight Rates Higher Bunker Price for 3Q

Evergreen Marine Corp (EMC), the listed subsidiary of Evergreen Group, provided an update presentation in Taiwan after market last Friday (14th Oct). The presentation materials provided additional color on the Evergreen's operation and relevant read through to the whole liner industry. First, decline in freight rates was the main reason for the 16% MoM drop in the Evergreen's revenue in September. During Sep, Evergreen's volume was down 5% MoM while the freight rates dropped 12% MoM. in the de

Matson

Matson 3Q EPS down 29% QoQ

Matson provided preliminary 3Q earnings after market close on Monday (Oct 18). 1. 3Q22 net income and diluted EPS were expected to be $257mn to $262mn and $6.67 to $6.79, respectively, which means EPS was down about 29% QoQ but still up 2% YoY. 2. Ocean transport, which is driven primarily by Matson's China-US routes namely CLX, CLX+ and CCX, was expected to have generated $310mn to $315mn, down 34% QoQ and 14% YoY. 3. Container volume was expected to be 112,707 feu in 3Q,

Companies

COSCO 3Q profit down 16% QoQ

COSCO provided a profit alert after market close today(10 Oct). The alert gave 9-month figures in RMB. For 3Q 2022 in USD, profit attributable to the shareholders were down 16% QoQ and flat YoY while EBIT was down 17% QoQ and down 1% YoY.

Companies

Liner revenue rolled over in Sep

OOIL and the Taiwanese liners' revenue reports came out after the market close on Friday (7 Oct). All four liners reported sequentially lower revenue in 3Q. Liners will start to report their 3Q earnings in the coming weeks. These revenue reports suggest 3Q earnings may have come off from this cycle peak in 2Q. Consensus in the capital market is expecting 3Q liner* earnings to be between 4% up and 18% down QoQ. OOIL's 3Q revenue dropped only 5% QoQ while Wanhai's 3Q revenue dropped 18% QoQ. Sequ

Companies

Liner OPEX Could Stay High Unrelated to Freight Rates

As the container liner sector is entering an earning downcycle, OPEX analysis should be back in focus for the stakeholders. While the average freight rates over 6-month has been tripled since 19H1, OPEX has also quietly moved up by 52%. Hence the 60% EBIT margin reported in 22H1. If the average freight rates fall by 60%, the industry will reach the break even level holding all else constant. Some of the OPEX items may not be correlated with the freight rates or at least not moving in synchroniz

Companies

WHL and YMM Aug Revenue Add Confirmation To Industry Wide Downcycle

WHL and YMM also reported their August revenue last week, after EMC. WHL's August revenue fell 20% YoY, 12% MoM and 40% from its peak in Jan 2022. YMM's August revenue also fell both YoY and MoM. If the same MoM pace continues for Sep, the three Taiwanese liners will likely report 9% M0M lower top line and hence 7% QoQ lower top line for for 3Q 2022. Liner industry reported about 58% EBIT margin and 50% net profit margin during 2Q 2022. So on the ballpark, every 1% drop in top line would mean

Companies

Ranking Liners By Dividend: Yang Ming and OOIL top

The best yard stick, in our view, measuring management performance is the financial return generate over time. And the most direct financial return for shareholders is the dividend pay-out relative to a company's market value. Liners have been swimming in cash on extraordinary earnings since 2021. Reasonably, they also distributed dividend generously. Between 2021 and July 2022 end, a total of $38bn* of dividend paid while another $14bn have been committed to be paid in 2022 by the 16 shipping

Companies

COSCO 22Q2 Results: Unwinding Provision Helped

COSCO 22Q2 results were out overnight. Earnings have already been given in the alert last month. So the new news is dividend,HK2 or 50% payout ratio, which is ahead of the analysts estimates. Yet the stock ended down in the Hong Kong trading session. The results are all good. Top line dropped just 4% QoQ as 2% higher volume mitigate some fall in freight rates while slot costs dropped by a whopping 23%. Slot costs are the OPEX incurred in a quarter divided by operating capacity, which help make

Markets

How Has Container Shipping Stacked Up Against MSCI World?

Container liners proved to be able to generate values for shareholders despite of the cyclicality of their operating performance. From 2000 to July 2022, container liners returned over 700% to their shareholders whereas during the same period MSCI World returned only 440%.

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