EMC

Financials

Main carriers liftings drop for 7th consecutive quarter

Container liftings for main carriers fell 6.8% YoY in 1Q 2023, accelerating from the 6.6% YoY fall in 4Q. All  9 of the main carriers recorded volume reductions, with Zim and Maersk recording the largest drops. The aggregate liftings of the 9 carriers in 1Q 2023 were even lower than the 2Q 2020 level during the first COVID wave. Despite the of the continuous improvement of the vessel turnaround time on the easing of port congestion, liner’s volume yield (liftings per slot) has continued to fall

Companies

TWN Liner Revenue Resumed Sequential Fall

Taiwanese liners' April revenue fell 5% MoM after a 1-month rebound in March. The decline in these liners' revenue start to mirror that magnitude of the fall in CCFI.

Companies

Liners monthly revenue rebounded sequentially in March

Taiwanese liners’ March revenue (in USD) rebounded 14% MoM versus CCFI’s continue decline. YoY comparison is still negative by 66%. The sequentially rebound is likely volume driven, a normal seasonal pattern from Feb to Mar.

Companies

Taiwanese Monthly Revenue: February performance hit by lower rates and volumes

Yang Ming and Wan Hai have also reported their February revenue after Friday (10 March) close, following Evergreen's report a day before. The trend is similar to that of Evergreen's e.g. being down 22% MoM and 69% YoY. The 22% February drop is larger than CCFI's 8% MoM drop in February, with volumes falling sharply during the month.

Companies

Container Liners Saw Lower Revenue in January

Taiwanese liners' January revenue continued its slide. In aggregate these 3 listed liners' revenue at about $1.6bn in January was down 14% MoM and 65% YoY. The 14% sequential fall in January was similar to the pace of fall in December. This year's Lunar New Year public holidays went from 21 to 27 January in China. Many factories in China closed ahead of the official public holidays and resumed production later than the official holiday end, which may have negatively impact container shipment v

Financials

TWN liners top line reports hinted potentially 60% QoQ fall in net profit

The listed Taiwanese liners have all reported their Dec 2022 revenues, which are the first actual figures of the FY2022 and 22Q4 results among all liners. In short, these liners revenue dropped 39% QoQ and 44% YoY. In 3Q22, the listed Taiwanese liners together have delivered $11bn in revenue and $5.9bn in net profit. The $4.3bn or 39% QoQ fall in revenue during 4Q22 will likely reduce these liner's net profit by nearly 60% QoQ, in our estimates assuming 20% lower fuel expenses and 60% lower ta

Companies

Liner Top Liner Drop Accelerated in November

The aggregate November monthly revenue for the 3 Taiwanese liners amounted to $2,2bn, down 18% MoM and 44% YoY. The 18% sequential drop was faster than the CCFI's 14% sequential drop in November.

Companies

Widening Gap In EBIT Margin

The main carriers’ average EBIT margins fell by 3.4% from the 2Q peak of 54.3% to 50.9%. However, the gap between individual carriers are widening, with some notable drops at Wan Hai (down 13.0%), OOCL (down 8.3%), HMM (down 6.8%) and Yang Ming (down 6.1%). Carriers with a larger share on the Asia-US West Coast have suffered the largest margin erosion, with a sharper drop expected in 4Q 2022 as the rate malaise has spread to other tradelanes.

Companies

TWN Liners October top line fell but fell less than CCFI

EMC, YMM and WHL reported October top line. In aggregate, which provide better read through for the industry, revenue in USD fell 15% MoM and 33% YoY, probably would be taken as positive surprises since the fall is less than CCFI. As additional context for this set of October figures, the Taiwanese liners' revenue fell more more than CCFI during September.

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