Wanhai reported after Friday (11 Nov 2022) closed. Net profit dropped 42% YoY and 28% QoQ. Not much surprises since the top line has been reported few weeks ago and the QoQ quantum drop in pre tax earnings eg NTD12bn is similar to the top line QoQ drop. Liners with less contracted business ratio is still see greater earnings drop near term.
EMC, YMM and WHL reported October top line. In aggregate, which provide better read through for the industry, revenue in USD fell 15% MoM and 33% YoY, probably would be taken as positive surprises since the fall is less than CCFI. As additional context for this set of October figures, the Taiwanese liners' revenue fell more more than CCFI during September.
OOIL and the Taiwanese liners' revenue reports came out after the market close on Friday (7 Oct). All four liners reported sequentially lower revenue in 3Q. Liners will start to report their 3Q earnings in the coming weeks. These revenue reports suggest 3Q earnings may have come off from this cycle peak in 2Q. Consensus in the capital market is expecting 3Q liner* earnings to be between 4% up and 18% down QoQ. OOIL's 3Q revenue dropped only 5% QoQ while Wanhai's 3Q revenue dropped 18% QoQ. Sequ
The best yard stick, in our view, measuring management performance is the financial return generate over time. And the most direct financial return for shareholders is the dividend pay-out relative to a company's market value. Liners have been swimming in cash on extraordinary earnings since 2021. Reasonably, they also distributed dividend generously. Between 2021 and July 2022 end, a total of $38bn* of dividend paid while another $14bn have been committed to be paid in 2022 by the 16 shipping
Taiwanese liners' industry first top line reports came out over the last three days. In July, Evergreen delivered another record revenue while both Yang Ming and Wan Hai saw their top line came of 5% and 6% MoM respectively. In aggregate, the Taiwanese liners' top line in NTD was down 1% MoM. Since USD has strengthened further in July, these liners' top line in USD maybe down 2% MoM. Given July volume usually is higher than same in June. Average freight rates may be down sequentially during J
Taiwanese carriers' monthly revenue up 6% MoM in June and, on quarterly basis, 22Q2 was flat comparing to 22Q1, a trend consistent with the top line reported by OOIL earlier.
Wanhai is launching Asia - South America III Service (AS3), another FE-WCCA service, connecting Shekou, Hong Kong, Ensenada, Manzanillo (Mexico), Shekou in 42 days
MSC is pulling further ahead from Maersk. CMA CGM and Evergreen also gaining market share.
PIL and partners enhance Gulf China Service, with ESL to join in JulyPIL has announced an enhancement to the Gulf China Service (GCS) with the addition of new calls at Shanghai and Singapore.